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What you need to know about the virus in China "2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)"

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Variety of case numbers and incidence growth curves comparing countries, updated regularly: http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/

If US tops out at 180/M (Korea) = 59k cases. Italy has not come close to leveling off. If we estimate 600/M = 200k cases. Still, these incidence rates are very low, far lower than even 1%, let alone the 20% to 70% that has been bandied about. Certainly in countries where testing has been sparse, the figures are understated (US) but not so for Korea AFAIK. Comments?

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What they are saying here is that we are now seeing cases of people infected 7-14 days ago. Since the lockdown went fully into effect on last Thursday they are expecting to see the effects in 2 weeks from that date. Hopefully.
 
May be interesting to know that the first hotbed, the one in the Lodi area that was subject to the very first lockdown (later extended to all the Lumbardy and at the end to the whole country) is reporting zero new cases since a few days ago. So it might work on an extended scale.
 
Let's stick with the vital local information, direct from all of us around the world and stay away from the rather old news that certain print media has political bias and agendas .

Been that way for all of my life so let's just assume it's to be considered .

Cheers
 
The shelves of our local whole foods are still empty (since Thursday last week). Mondays are usually restocking day.
 
toliet paper.png
 
Now let's "work" from home, by donating your idle computing power

http://boinc.bakerlab.org/rosetta/
https://www.ipd.uw.edu/2020/02/rosettas-role-in-fighting-coronavirus/
Robetta, our online Rosetta-based protein structure prediction server that is free to use for academics, was able to accurately predict the results of this folding process. In early February, it calculated 3D atomic-scale models of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein in its prefusion state that closely match those later discovered in the lab.

https://foldingathome.org/
https://foldingathome.org/2020/03/1...e-doing-and-how-you-can-help-in-simple-terms/
TL;DR: We’re simulating the dynamics of COVID-19 proteins to hunt for new therapeutic opportunities. Scroll to the bottom of the page to see a list of ways you can help.
 
Dow Futures, and my simple short term Technical Analysis of the price movement.

What the Chart shows about how traders trade, for those unfamiliar with the concept:

Chart without annotations:

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How far did price drop?

To the recent low (gray line at bottom)

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Then price rose.

How far?

50% of the drop.

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What triggered the quick 550 point price rise at the end of the current fall?

Measurements:
Rate of increase or "resistance" (upper red line) mirrored with a parallel line or "support" (lower red line). Price touched "support" and popped bigly, if only temporarily (a trading opportnity, nonetheless)

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One last little note:

The low today was a few points lower than the prior low, leaving the longer downward trend - lower highs and lower lows, intact.

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What does this have to do with Coronavirus?

Not much, but the virus is providing a fabulous backdrop to support the insane volatility in equity pricing.
 
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Right side of current chart:

Two failures to break through the "resistance slope", and a News Conference takes over the TV channels, so let's retest the lows...

Price swings between an ever changing set of "limits".

Looks like the lows will hold for the moment, since nothing newly exciting was revealed by the talking heads on the tube.

So, lets go the other way again... Breaking through the old support (upward sloping line) will be a milestone for up.


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The Dutch prime minister has just spoken to the nation on national television. His position: listen to the scientific experts - all our actions will be based on science and facts. He outlined current policy: contain and manage the spread of infection, but do not lock up the country because that is impossible for the time frame that would be needed. In due time a large proportion of the population will be infected, and the good news about that is that for most people this will be a mild illness. The benefit will be that this will create herd immunity. The challenge in the meantime is to protect the vulnerable, and spread the burden on the health system over time.
He also discussed the economy, because the economy will take a massive hit. He said government will protect business to the extent possible, and help and support people. The good news is that we have plenty of money for that, having run a budget surplus for the last few years. We can spend an additional 10% of gdp without even hitting the EU budget deficit ceiling, and of course more is possible. Detailed economic measures will be announced over the next few days but according to experts they will certainly include delayed taxation for businesses, income support for workers without permanent contracts, and half time unemployment benefits for companies that have to lay off staff part time. More to follow.
 
So, lets go the other way again... Breaking through the old support (upward sloping line) will be a milestone for up.
It's all BS being manipulated by the super rich to make more money. They know when to get out and will know when to jump back in again. There's going to be vast fortunes make by those who jump in just before the correction starts at the stabilization of Corona. Keep some cash handy for when-if an announcement is made of a vaccine development. :p
 
It's all BS being manipulated by the super rich to make more money. They know when to get out and will know when to jump back in again. There's going to be vast fortunes make by those who jump in just before the correction starts at the stabilization of Corona. Keep some cash handy for when-if an announcement is made of a vaccine development. :p

Good time to buy Sal, get some blue chips and enjoy your retirement.
 
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