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Coronavirus (COVID-19): Global business, economics, and stock markets updates

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RayDunzl

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Wombat

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;)
 

RayDunzl

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The Senate is not social distancing...

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JIW

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Weekly unemployment claims US (thousands). 1% of population. 2 %-point increase in unemployment.
EUCUARtXgAAg5JQ

Documentation from US Dept of Labor.
 
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stunta

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RayDunzl

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Los Angeles, Thursday, 6:30pm

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Typical Thursday at 6:30

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RayDunzl

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RickSanchez

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With the Bloomberg model predicting a 100% chance of a recession within the next year, and the Covid-19 case number rising with no sign of flattening in the U.S,. why did the stock market rise steadily last week with the DJIA gaining over 2,300 points? Do investors truly believe that the economy will take off like a rocket if President Trump, and governors like Greg Abbott of Texas relax social restrictions?

And will they really ignore the opinions of medical experts who say that such a move is likely to re-invigorate the pandemic?
 

Putter

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https://erj.ersjournals.com/content/early/2020/04/01/13993003.00517-2020

No Association of COVID-19 transmission with temperature or UV radiation in Chinese cities

I know this was already posted, but it relates to my pet theory that Vitamin D levels might correlate with survivability to infection with corona virus. While there are likely to be confounding factors such as the fact that most Chinese cities have high levels of air pollution that could screen out UV light needed to produce Vitamin D in the skin.

It may not help with regard to the Corona virus but most surveys indicate the population is deficient in Vitamin D levels and unlike what I would describe as medical drug interventions such as mega dosing on Zinc, this is just likely to improve your health (and I haven't completely given up hope it might reduce excessive immune response to Corona that in most cases is what leads to death.)

I've done searches, but still haven't found data relating Vitamin D levels in Corona virus victims vs. the general population.

I take it back. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20058578v1
The Role of Vitamin D in Suppressing Cytokine Storm in COVID-19 Patients and Associated Mortality

Method: Daily admission, recovery and deceased rate data for patients with COVID-19 from countries with over 5,000 confirmed cases through March 21, 2020, were selected. A potential association between severe Vit D deficiency and age-specific case fatality (CFR) was investigated.

Reported medical characteristics of 793 COVID-19 patients were used to evaluate the intensity of cytokine storm in severe COVID-19 using C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. Medical data reported from a national study of 3,848 participants in 2007-2008 was used to investigate the association between Vit D status and CRP. Odds ratio and risk factors from these conditions were used to predict the potential impact of Vit D on the reduction of cytokine storm and severe COVID-19.

Findings: Age-specific CFR in Italy, Spain, and France (70 yo ≤ age < 80 yo) was substantially higher (>1.9 times) than other countries (Germany, South Korea, China); for the elderly (age ≥70 yo), Italy and Spain present the highest CFR (>1.7 times that of other countries). The age-specific ratio of confirmed cases in Italy, Spain, and France has also been substantially higher than in other countries.

A more severe deficiency of Vit D (mean 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) concentration <0.25 ng/L) is reported in Italy and Spain compared to other countries. Our analysis of the reported clinical data (25OHD, CRP) from multiple studies suggests that elimination of severe Vit D deficiency reduces the risk of high CRP levels (odds ratio of 2) which may be used as a surrogate marker of cytokine storm which was estimated to a potential reduction in severe COVID-19 cases of up to 15%.

Interpretation: The substantially higher age-specific CFR and the age-specific ratio of confirmed cases in Italy and Spain (countries with low mean 25OHD level) suggest a potential link between severe Vit D deficiency and severe COVID-19, which can lead to a higher CFR.

Our analysis of the published data on the status of Vit D and CRP levels (in the US) and laboratory data (CRP levels) reported from 792 patients in China suggests that a proper supplementation of Vit D across populations may reduce the number of severe COVID-19 cases by up to 15 percentage points by lowering the risk factors related to cytokine storm.

If you want to take this with a grain of salt so be it. 15% is not a lot, but it's better than nothing. I've taken liberties highlighting important sections and omitting others.
 
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