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I don't perceive it the same way. I think your description is what has happened or largely happened and is continuing. The difference is considering phones the computer most people have. You then have streaming devices as computers. I don't know how to get data on usage. Many people do live without a computer in the sense of having a laptop or desktop using only phones and computer appliances. Almost all of which are cloud devices.I'm aware, a large portion of my job involves dealing with cloud based systems. However, the claims that were made over a decade ago are not even close to what we have today.
I can remember reading articles about how consumers won't need computers anymore. All their data and applications will live in the cloud, and all their processing will be done in the cloud etc etc . Basically claiming the mainframe & dumb terminal methodology was the way forward for everyone and everything.
I remember laughing about how all the big tech top brass must think your average person doesn't give a crap about privacy!