Yeh, this storm will be a good test of their new building codes.
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Tropical Cyclone Irma
- Thread starter RayDunzl
- Start date
Is there a good side? LOL
Polk County issued a mandatory evac for modular and mobile home parks so everyone is getting out of my community.
Got a friend up the road with a (real brick) house, going to ride it out there.
He's up north so I don't know it there is any internet access there.
May not hear from me for a bit.
I'm gone----------------
Hoping you survive this well Sal... Keep us posted as soon as you can.
NorthSky
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Cat 3 right now. Might end up further west, into the water, more in line with what I first thought five days ago.
Between staying home surfing the wave and running out of gas on the highway, I would ...
Jose is a cat 4, and about to hit already destroyed islands.
Mexico had several aftershocks after the big 8.1 one. Katia is there too.
If we were living in the age of the electric car, would it be better?
The news we read from various channels; I wonder sometimes their level of objective integrity...
Between staying home surfing the wave and running out of gas on the highway, I would ...
Jose is a cat 4, and about to hit already destroyed islands.
Mexico had several aftershocks after the big 8.1 one. Katia is there too.
If we were living in the age of the electric car, would it be better?
The news we read from various channels; I wonder sometimes their level of objective integrity...
OP
- Thread Starter
- #105
Nice:
NorthSky
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Ok, I give up.
* By the way, how do you multiquote, and from two pages? I tried, without success.
OP
- Thread Starter
- #108
"All funds collected through the One America Appeal will go into a special account at the George H. W. Bush Presidential Library Foundation, a tax-exempt 501(c)(3) organization, to ensure 100 cents out of every dollar donated goes to hurricane victims. All monies collected will be distributed immediately to the designated recovery funds."
Seeing a Clinton lead off, I just had to find out who was going to launder the funds.
OP
- Thread Starter
- #109
7pm Saturday
Seems to me it is certainly expending a lot of its energy making clouds to the north...
Seems to me it is certainly expending a lot of its energy making clouds to the north...
NorthSky
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See, she's not making a sharp turn as previously predicted. And that was the reason why I asked; how can they predict a sharp 50° turn like they did few days ago...which was supposed to happen six hours ago (today @ 2:00 pm)? @ first she was supposed to go towards Miami and cruise along the East coast. Now it's towards Tampa on the West coast. But looking @ the satellite pictures from an hour ago she is stuck North of Cuba, and if she follows her straight trajectory line she'll be moving towards Houston, Texas.
Thursday's prediction @ 2 AM ↓
Thursday @ 5 PM ↓
Yesterday, Friday @ 5 AM ↓
Friday @ 5 PM ↓
• The latest prediction→ http://google.org/crisismap/2017-irma?hl=en&llbox=35.46,11.66,-40.38,-100.41&t=TERRAIN&layers=3,1340721332252,30,1,31,32,5,49,15,11,20,12,layer9,layer8
___
* Katia is gone, she's just a rainy storm now.
** Jose, Cat 4, is moving away into deserted waters...where she'll perish into a slow death...good.
But before she'll send some strong winds and rain (few inches) on some of the smaller islands from the vicinity. It's those small islands like Barbuda and St. Martin that lost everything.
Thursday's prediction @ 2 AM ↓
Thursday @ 5 PM ↓
Yesterday, Friday @ 5 AM ↓
Friday @ 5 PM ↓
• The latest prediction→ http://google.org/crisismap/2017-irma?hl=en&llbox=35.46,11.66,-40.38,-100.41&t=TERRAIN&layers=3,1340721332252,30,1,31,32,5,49,15,11,20,12,layer9,layer8
___
* Katia is gone, she's just a rainy storm now.
** Jose, Cat 4, is moving away into deserted waters...where she'll perish into a slow death...good.
But before she'll send some strong winds and rain (few inches) on some of the smaller islands from the vicinity. It's those small islands like Barbuda and St. Martin that lost everything.
Last edited:
OP
- Thread Starter
- #111
It's just now getting to the turn point:
Last Wednesday prediction. They slid it a little west since then:
Friday morning:
Weather is hardly an exact science...
I would judge their location estimate from five days ago to be pretty darn good:
Miss by six hours and 50 miles?
No doubt your meteorology is better than theirs, but wind systems are complex and how various fronts move in and steer it is tough to predict. The thing that will make it turn is winds coming from the west which is how most of the winds in the U.S.A. operate. A hundred miles north or south, or a few hours change in when the front to the west moves in, is a big player in where the hurricane hits. When and where, use your crystal ball, but it is not going to keep heading west forever.
NorthSky
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Sounds like an audio forum...
NorthSky
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Alright, I got that. And, because Irma is so big and strong she's tougher to predict on when she'll precisely change direction.
I ain't no meteor... expert Don; I was simply asking a simple question.
My very bests to people of Cuba and Florida.
OP
- Thread Starter
- #116
My local Electric Company, although now headquartered in Halifax, Nova Scotia after selling themselves out, has a nice compact area to deal with:
The above outages are probably just normal fails and accidents, since the weather is dead calm here, a little wind yesterday afternoon.
The x are me and the local power plant (coal and gas), the local lines are underground.
If the stacks blow over, all bets are off...
The above outages are probably just normal fails and accidents, since the weather is dead calm here, a little wind yesterday afternoon.
The x are me and the local power plant (coal and gas), the local lines are underground.
If the stacks blow over, all bets are off...
OP
- Thread Starter
- #118
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/100901.shtml?
Highlights:
Irma has made its long-awaited turn
The eye should move across the Lower
Florida Keys in the next few hours. After that, the hurricane's
track almost parallel to the west coast of Florida makes it very
difficult to pinpoint exactly where Irma will cross the Florida Gulf
coast.
Given current trends, some additional strengthening could occur
during the next several hours. However, vertical wind shear is
increasing over Irma, and the shear is expected to become strong
within 24 h. This, combined with land interaction, should cause at
least a steady weakening from 12-36 h.
The new intensity forecast
is slightly lower than that of the previous advisory at those
times, but it still calls for Irma to be a major hurricane at its
closest approach to the Tampa Bay area.
The threat of
catastrophic storm surge flooding is highest along the southwest
coast of Florida, where 10 to 15 feet of inundation above ground
level is expected. This is a life-threatening situation.
Through Monday, Irma is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 8 to
15 inches with isolated amounts of 20 inches across the Florida
peninsula
Highlights:
Irma has made its long-awaited turn
The eye should move across the Lower
Florida Keys in the next few hours. After that, the hurricane's
track almost parallel to the west coast of Florida makes it very
difficult to pinpoint exactly where Irma will cross the Florida Gulf
coast.
Given current trends, some additional strengthening could occur
during the next several hours. However, vertical wind shear is
increasing over Irma, and the shear is expected to become strong
within 24 h. This, combined with land interaction, should cause at
least a steady weakening from 12-36 h.
The new intensity forecast
is slightly lower than that of the previous advisory at those
times, but it still calls for Irma to be a major hurricane at its
closest approach to the Tampa Bay area.
The threat of
catastrophic storm surge flooding is highest along the southwest
coast of Florida, where 10 to 15 feet of inundation above ground
level is expected. This is a life-threatening situation.
Through Monday, Irma is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 8 to
15 inches with isolated amounts of 20 inches across the Florida
peninsula
OP
- Thread Starter
- #119
http://www.fox13news.com/weather/tr...ower-rolling-blackouts-possible-as-irma-nears
"
TAMPA (FOX 13) - Tampa Electric Company’s top executive offered a stark view of Hurricane Irma’s possible impact on power customers Saturday.
President and CEO Gordon Gillette said up to 70 percent of its customers could lose power during the storm.
Gillette said rolling blackouts may be needed prior to the storm in order for supply to meet demand. Gillette said changes in the storm’s predicted path and strength have TECO anticipating between 300,000 and 500,000 customers losing power."
"Customers who plan to use generators in the event of a power outage need to plug appliances directly into the generator using an extension cord. Gillette said connecting your generator to your home’s circuits may cause power to flow to outside lines, which could endanger the lives of repair crews."
OP
- Thread Starter
- #120
Saturday Night has passed.
I didn't hear any gunshots.
Then again, I don't live in Pasco County.