I think a friend or ex-girlfriend was going through sommelier testing. I looked up the requirements to pass the master examination and ran some numbers, I don't have the numbers at hand but at the time I found it numerically implausible that anyone could pass by chance.Hopefully not spreading misinformation thru bad memory. A few years back I was watching a program about how sommeliers are credentialed. The highest credential is very hard to get, and very few pass the test. Somewhere was an article showing details of that. Not only did very few pass the testing for that, but you were allowed to take that test as often as you would pay for it. And most took it multiple times. In the end the passing rate was so few it appeared to me to be random. As in just statistical probability would let someone pass every once and while. Made me wonder if in fact no one passes the test or at least that most who do simply eventually get lucky enough.
There are only a bit more than 200 Master Sommeliers in the entire world.
Fortunately in audio we are blessed with way more than 200 master subjective reviewers. Then again, they don't have to pass a test.
You have to correctly identify the region, grape, and vintage for several wines, given that there are dozens of regions and grapes, I don't think enough people take the test to have many random sequences of guess get through. It's not just "is this wine french or not", it's "where is this wine from", where you have to pick from a longer list. Also IIRC you can only take it 3 times.
It is also the case that people really can taste the differences in wine unsighted, perhaps not perfectly, but certainly better than untrained sippers.
I would not guess that your average wine judge is well-trained, necessarily.