Are you buying now because you anticipate higher prices?

[antcollinet]

We're veering close to politics. So my thread doesn't get shut down, let's get back on topic? I'd appreciate it.

OK

No, I'm not "buying ahead"

As pointed out above - never make a purchase until you really need to.
It is much less likely that prices in the rest of the world will go up, except for USA manufactured items. And I don't think I use many of them.

 

[Salt]

We're veering close to politics. So my thread doesn't get shut down, let's get back on topic? I'd appreciate it.

No worry: no mod online at this time ...

 

[antcollinet]

No worry: no mod online at this time ...

there is at least one in addition to Amir.

 

[Elitzur–Vaidman]

I ordered a new coffee grinder in anticipation of tariff-related price increases.

 

[Sokel]

The climate is sure heavy to the point that talking audio has not been fun the last days.
I don't care who's fault is (it's obvious though) but people are touchy, nervous and ready to explode.

(as a side effect I'll stay off for a while till fun has restored, things are far too toxic to interact with)

 

[Mort]

There's a lot of restraint - admirable and non-inflationary. That's good!

And it's helpful to hear the differences expected between Europe and the US.

 

[Salt]

there is at least one in addition to Amir.

Something is missing on top at the moment, not?
(just a snapshot, no thing more)

 

[antcollinet]

View attachment 444299

Something is missing on top at the moment, not?
(just a snapshot, no thing more)

I don't know - why do you think so? The list there is not alphabetic.

 

[Mort]

I don't know - why do you think so? The list there is not alphabetic.

I think there is usually a Mod listed at top. Or until recently that was the case.

 

[Snarfie]

My view of predictions comes from time I spent as a professional Stock Index Futures and options trader. If I knew even one day in advance what the market was going to do I never would have had to work another day in my life. Predictions 6 months out are very difficult in my experience. Take the current environment as an example, 8 weeks ago the stock market made an all time high and everyone was talking "boom". Everyone also knew about Trump's tariff promises at the time as he had been talking about them for years. Now 8 weeks later the stock market is down 10% to 20% and everyone is talking about a recession or worse. I can come up with multiple scenarios of what is going to happen over the next 8 weeks or 6 months but I have learned I really don't know. I do think that uncertainty and volatility are higher now than usual and if you you were planning on buying something it is wise to buy it now but I don't think there is enough information to justify "stock piling" or " waiting for lower prices" at this point. Enjoy your new sub, it will be fun no matter how things work out.

I worked in the financial market data world specialised in low latency realtime data feeds for financial institutions like market makers black & scholes an other VAR models. Did remember that a lot of them used in their strategies besides interest rates, future dividend payment in their far out the mony option series pricing in 2008 lots of them went bust because massively dividend was canceled. I got a dejavu feeling now regarding all uncertanties.

 

[mns3dhm]

The answer to this question is yes for big ticket items that were slowly obsolescing and may be more expensive going forward due to tariffs. For example, we replaced a 2013 automobile with a new model that is manufactured in Japan and then exported to the U.S. Negotiating that deal prior to April 2 seemed prudent and we have no regrets. We also decided to replace a 2017 model TV with a new model although that product category seems exempt from tariffs, at least for now.

 

[antcollinet]

I think there is usually a Mod listed at top. Or until recently that was the case.

Possibly. I've never looked at that page before.

Either way I hope people are not suggesting that due to the current situation it is OK to push boundaries.

 

[Salt]

I think there is usually a Mod listed at top. Or until recently that was the case.

You captured it.

 

[Salt]

Possibly. I've never looked at that page before.

Either way I hope people are not suggesting that due to the current situation it is OK to push boundaries.

I hope 'people' do the job for moderators as long as they are lacking ... just thinking ... that was the basic implementation of my upper post (and no hint to break out in anarchy).

 

[levimax]

I worked in the financial market data world specialised in realtime data feeds for financial risk environment/departments like market makers black & scholes an other VAR models. Did remember that a lot of them used in their strategies besides interest future dividend payment in their far out the mony option series pricing in 2008 lots of them went bust. I got a dejavu feeling now regarding all unncertanties.

I could tell stories about this type of stuff for hours but don't want to go even further off topic. There is an old adage repeated among options traders "It's the tails (of probability distribution) that will kill you". This is my second favorite adage behind "Don't confuse brains for a bull market". Trying to bring this back on topic I believe it is difficult to anticipate how this is all going to play out regarding Hi-Fi gear costs and will most likely vary by country and product and brand. Of course if you are looking for an excuse to buy a piece of gear it is as good of an excuse as any .

 

[Multicore]

I'm buying more now, within my economic limits of course. My expectation is prices will rise on the gear I like (Genelec, Philharmonic Audio, MiniDsp, Wiim - the usual suspects). Especially the used market, which I think is very underpriced.

My wife renewed her 5-year old Macbook at the weekend in anticipation of higher prices. Later that day the government announced an exception for that type of product.

I noticed last week that used guitar prices on Reverb are soft. This, I presume, reflects what they call consumer confidence.

 

[Titurel]

I know it's a shame because polls overwhelmingly show that most Americans disagree with the policies that affect our allies.

Not being political here, but I would point out that polls typically show whatever result was paid for. They might be accurate in this case, but after hearing one (name brand) pollster explain his company's methodology, I resolved never to trust a poll that wasn't associated with a barbershop. (sorry)

 

[NADKEF listener]

Not being political here, but I would point out that polls typically show whatever result was paid for. They might be accurate in this case, but after hearing one (name brand) pollster explain his company's methodology, I resolved never to trust a poll that wasn't associated with a barbershop. (sorry)

That poll was conducted by YouGov, that’s even in the US regarded as pretty objective. Poll link about what Americans think of conquering Greenland.

 

[DMill]

No

 

[TimF]

For me there is no fun in buying now. I enjoyed buying and trying Chinese audio equipment that is priced such that I can afford to take a risk on whether it suits my needs, and similarly so for Chinese and Japanese watches. I know that the gaming and aggressive tactics of the current USA government regarding international trade will have real and significant negative consequences. We face great uncertainty that may go on and on, but with the certainty that the situation will be purposely destabilized and manipulated to ends that are murky and possibly unfair, unjust, unjustified, and unrecoverable. Am I being cynical?