That assessment is wrong on many levels. Trump tariffs are not normal by any standard. They vary at the drop of a hat and continue to change. It's certainly not normal policy that has ever been studied before under any circumstances. When tariffs are a weapon and not simply a stable economic tool it's a totally different impact. Business can't plan, individuals can't order outside the country without taking large price risks. Business is reducing the workforce just as they normally do prior to a recession. The answer is to fire the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics when you don't like the report? What can possibly go wrong with this tactic? Even more uncertainty and slower recovery.
In addition, when you combine mass deportation of immigrants at the same time the impact is amplified in every sector. All off a sudden there are few or no workers to harvest crops, no landscapers, roofs don't get replaced, service employees are hard to find. Everything gets more expensive quickly. These workers no longer pay into Social Security and Medicare, causing these programs to run out of funding sooner. Add the mass destruction that comes with climate change in various parts of the country and insurance rates rocket while few are available to complete repairs. Put all of this together. Mass immigrant deportation, huge new tariffs and violent weather make a bad situation much worse. It's really a perfect storm brought on by mass stupidity.
