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Human beliefs sure are weird. Why is it so difficult to get audiophiles to accept the existence of perceptual bias?

THW

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You just confirmed Azeia's point - thank you very much

tbh regarding climate change, I think while its hard to deny that temperatures as a whole are increasing, I think what is less clear is “why?”

I’ll just leave it at that though because this doesn’t seem like a place that is entirely suitable for discussing such a thing in depth :D
 

JJB70

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I enjoy Celibidache'Bruckner, but I have not decided if that is enjoyment of music or experiencing the suspension of time.
 

digicidal

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"I don't mean to be rude, but it's not logically possible to prove something can't be done."
Perpetual motion, solving the three-body problem, simultaneous measurement of particle position and momentum...

I thought that ^ was solved along time ago... at least in cases where only one of them was male. :cool:
 

Sal1950

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Just like knowing a little about Astrophysics doesn't diminish my enjoyment of the night sky, knowing a little about audio and engineering doesn't diminish my enjoyment of music. In fact, they both enhance the experience.
Also helps me to separate the BS, FUD, and other delusional claims made by lunatic audiophools in the print and web based medias. ;)
 

kevinh

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You just confirmed Azeia's point - thank you very much


"Climate Science" is religion not science. The data is totally inadequate to support much of any theory. The theory is supported by computer models, the models are basically Finite Element Models, they are unable to model a complex non linear chaotic system. Then there is the tamper with the existing (threadbare) climate record to fit the politically preferred narrative.

AGW is the scientific equivalent of $40,000 audio cables being necessary while ignoring room acoustics.

The worst part of this is that the proposed solutions will not impact the climate at all at the cost of costing million of lives in the third world.
The climate had indeed changed for literally billions of years with Homo Sapiens having little if anything to do with it. The religious belief that there is some sort of stable 'pre industrial' climate is nonsense peddled by people with an agenda to control economic activity. If you want a thread on this I will be happy to oblige and document the points above with facts.
 

ahofer

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I believe we are taking a big risk of man-made warming causing severe climate shocks. Not a certainty (in part due to the modeling problems suggested above), but a *risk*, and that's part of the problem with the public dialogue. But risks are important.

I'm more or less in agreement with the second part asserted above: most "solutions" are not, and are hugely expensive to lifestyles and thus politically unfeasible. We need to build baseload power, which is inevitably nukes. Nukes have also shown some public feasibility problems. But imagine a distributed network of small salt-Thorium reactors. It would solve US Grid problems at the same time as actually making a dent in emissions. There are working designs in China and Australia, I understand. Climate engineering is also worth exploring. One might look to some of the suggestions of the Copenhagen consensus.

We are at a stalemate beween "deniers" and "hairshirt environmentalist" religious zealots. Not pretty.
 
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Willem

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I do not think that there are any serious scholars who believe that there ever was some kind of stable 'pre-industrial' climate. I certainly don't. And for those outside this field of research who may still believe that there was such a stable climate, they should read Bruce Campbell's The Great Transition: Climate, Disease and Society in the Late-Medieval World (Cambridge University Press, 2016), if only to see how socially disruptive climate change can be. There is also similar research for earlier periods like the second or the sixth century AD, see for example Kyle Harper's The Fate of Rome. Climate, disease and the end of an Empire. Princeton 2017, even if those data are not as robust as those for the fourteenth century. However, the fact that there was natural climate change in the past is completely irrelevant as an argument against the contention that what we are experiencing now is not natural but man made.
 
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Azeia

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I kind of took a step back for a day, to see if things would quiet down, but it seems that didn't happen.

First off, I want to address people who are making snarky remarks about how off-topic all of this is; fair point, except that in that case you'd have to blame OP for starting the topic in the first place, or perhaps for posting it in the wrong forum section. Perhaps "Fun topics" would be better? not that this is particularly "fun", but I can't see any other options, and there is a similar active topic there right now about comparing hobby/science of audio vs dog breeding, but since no one views dogs as "political", I guess that's perfectly fine, right?

It goes right back to what I said in my first post; it's not that people de facto agree with certain scientific propositions, it's rather dependent on whether those scientific facts run afoul of an individual's privately held beliefs or biases for whatever reason. The reasons differ, but are usually emotional in nature; it could be people who subjectively associate a scientific fact with a particular set of politics, and thus the fact must be incorrect because it came from "them". Could also be just that some people are automotive enthusiasts that romanticize the loud roar of an engine, and don't like the idea that their hobby is being associated with something "bad", so they seek to discredit the real science behind climate change.

I think it's important to point out that none of these people are bad people, or anything of the sort. They are subject to the same human biases that we all are, which is precisely why science was developed over centuries in the first place, to try and filter out human bias as much as possible, and get to the truth of the matter.

I will admit, that a lot of my fellow travellers on the political spectrum will often relish the opportunity to mock and ridicule people they disagree with and even go as far as to make fun of their hobbies (to be fair, they get a lot of that treatment from people on the opposing side as well), but I'm not one of those people. For instance, I can appreciate the romanticism people have for cars that I mentioned above, and many of these people may look at an EV future and see that there is no place for their hobby anymore, and that makes them sad, but I don't see it that way; if the enthusiasts were the only ones, with internal combustion cars, then pollution would not be a problem, as those people are a small minority, whereas most people use cars to commute to work. Even the enthusiasts often have a daily driver, and a car that is more for tinkering and fun.

Everyone often assumes that anything we do to solve climate change will require a lower comfort level, or giving up certain hobbies, but this is false. The proposals have mainly been to fund new research precisely so that we don't have to give anything up, instead, we'll gain new technologies that will enrich our society; there will only be gains, and no losses here, because economics is not a zero-sum game.

I want to move on to address a few points made by @Cosmik in this thread, quoting here:
This idea really interests me. In the concept of the 'somewheres versus the anywheres', it is the anywheres i.e. the supposedly beautiful, educated, open, progressive people who are inherently pro-globalisation. It is the lumpen, thick somewheres who are wedded to backwards, inefficient locally-based economies.

The fragrant anywheres romanticise the middle class local farmers' produce market, recycling, green politics etc. and they say they love the EU, but one of the tenets of the lovely EU is that different geographical places should specialise economically, and the iconic 'free movement' is about workers moving to where their skills are needed. It's more efficient. This is a contradiction in the anywheres' supposed position (in fact I don't believe the anywheres really have a position, except in opposition to the grotesque somewheres).

So this is a perfect example of what I was saying. I actually have tried very hard in this thread (and it's not easy), to be as apolitical as possible, avoiding references to political parties, or terms like "progressive" or "conservative" in my posts, because I want to de-emotionalize the issue as much as possible and just reduce it to the facts we know, which is that 97% of the experts have a consensus on this, those experts do in fact take solar cycles into account in their research and still conclude that human activity is the cause of climate change, and the only possible way to argue against this large consensus, is to assume there is a conspiracy of some sort to squash opposition, despite the fact that these same exact people dismiss the impact that big oil could have on funding the opposing narrative.

Meanwhile, I'm rewarded for my efforts with some strange made-up words from a random article who's entire goal is to emotionalize the conversation and reduce the entire discussion to "us vs them". I've tried to be as polite as possible, but you *are* exposing bias here; if I sit here and just parrot the mainstream scientific narrative, your response is then to talk about how you're afraid of clicking "like" buttons for fear of being a bad person (persecution complex), but meanwhile, it's fair game to strawman anyone you disagree with and assume apriori what their values are without actually having a conversation with them and asking them.

The alleged contradictions you're pointing out are not contradictions if you're talking about different people. There are plenty of people within the progressive movement that disagree with eachother on many things, but ally when other views are shared. As for the EU, there are actually some on the left that dislike it precisely for the issues you noted, and then there are others who wish to reform it, because pulling the plug now would cause massive economic devastation, which is after all the main point of globalization, to make cooperation fruitful, and isolationism costly, and it's quite successful at this.

Another thing you did later in the thread, is bring up transpeople (WHY?!) to further skew the conversation in a politically-charged direction; "ah, here's another example of what these crazy progressives are up to nowadays, in addition to trying to take all our cars and cows away".

Another question: if you saw a political shift in a certain direction, and you saw scientists being pressured (positively and negatively) to espouse a certain idea (say eugenics), almost as a symbol for the righteous to gather round and to define everyone else as enemies, and looking in from the outside you could see how 97% of them might be coming to a questionable conclusion, would you just go along with it? It would be almost as though an ideology was being 'laundered' by science.

This "question" is insanely primed to the max, and inserts a bunch of variables that are not present in climate science, except in your imagination. Science has always been brutal; the way things work, is that there needs to be a check on pseudoscience, otherwise it will run amok, so there is a massive burden in elevating any theory to the level where it can be colloquially referred to as fact, and once you climb that mountain, you've earned the right to be smug about it, and the right to be derisive to others until such time as they back up their claims and climb that same mountain. There is nothing different or unique with climate science, than in any other field, all theories have advanced through the same process, and occasionally experienced a certain level of rhetorical hazing while going through that process. If anything, I would go as far as to say that climate scientists are actually far more polite against opponents than scientists in other fields would be, because the issue has been politicized by their opponents, and they understand they have to be politically correct to change the minds of deniers.

Lastly, as mentioned earlier, the only way to make sense of your world view, is to assume a conspiracy is afoot, and again, given that there is way more reason to be skeptical of "climate change skeptics" due to the influence of big oil and other multi-billion dollar corporations that collectively have trillions of dollars to lose, I must ask you, if you're going to chase conspiracy theories and circumstancial evidence, why chase the one that has the least amount of circumstancial evidence backing it?! And how is this theory of yours any different from the subjectivists that constantly accuse us of trying to silence the opposition?!
 

invaderzim

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Just like knowing a little about Astrophysics doesn't diminish my enjoyment of the night sky, knowing a little about audio and engineering doesn't diminish my enjoyment of music. In fact, they both enhance the experience.

I find it makes it more enjoyable. If you buy into all the imaginary improvements then it is easy to be continually chasing the perfect sound from silly components that you read and hear about rather than just enjoying the music.

If you believe that the speaker wires, interconnects, capacitors, connectors, power cords, power supplies, power conditioners and on and on can greatly affect the sound of your system then it is hard to sit back and enjoy the sound without wondering what this $50 cable or this $100 gadget might do.
Listening to music becomes:
"But I want the veil lifted on my sound too"
"What if my audio really sounds like there is a towel on the speaker and I just don't realize it?"
"Are the instruments separated enough? I should get that thing they said made it sound like you could walk between the instruments in the room."
"I thought this DAC was great when I got it but now they are saying this expensive one makes the music come alive"
"I wonder how much better this would all sound if I raised my speaker wires up off the floor?"
"I've tried 4 different speaker wires, maybe the 5th one will finally really make it all come alive"

Also helps me to separate the BS, FUD, and other delusional claims made by lunatic audiophools in the print and web based medias. ;)

And saves me so much money by not chasing those same delusions.
 
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Cosmik

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...the influence of big oil and other multi-billion dollar corporations that collectively have trillions of dollars to lose
I disagree with that. It seems to me that the oil companies are just 'companies'. Just because they started out in oil doesn't mean that they have to continue in oil - they can just change their name to ...Energy or some such. Certain countries may have a lot to lose when the world makes the gesture of ditching their product, but these huge companies can just buy into battery/solar/wind power if they want. Just as the tobacco companies can buy into vaping.
 

Krunok

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There is nothing different or unique with climate science, than in any other field, all theories have advanced through the same process, and occasionally experienced a certain level of rhetorical hazing while going through that process.

Ok, so what is the "official" attitude of climate science community on today's climate changes - did we cause it or it is a change that would happen anyway even without us?
 

Cosmik

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This "question" is insanely primed to the max, and inserts a bunch of variables that are not present in climate science, except in your imagination.
Was my "question" all that far fetched? Who said this recently?
'There is scientific consensus that the lives of young children are going to be very difficult. And it does lead, I think, young people to have a legitimate question – you know, should, is it okay to still have children?

I don't want this to get too heavy, but if you look at the definition of the bad word I used, it says this:
the study of or belief in the possibility of improving the qualities of the human species or a human population, especially by such means as discouraging reproduction by persons having genetic defects or presumed to have inheritable undesirable traits (negative eugenics) or encouraging reproduction by persons presumed to have inheritable desirable traits (positive eugenics).
The quote above was getting quite close to that wasn't it..?
 

RayDunzl

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Ok, so what is the "official" attitude of climate science community on today's climate changes - did we cause it or it is a change that would happen anyway even without us?

Assuming the prime suspect is CO2 concentrations, the "Greenhouse Effect", I can see where We the People can be part of the problem.

I looked at Daily Oil Consumption, 90m barrels or so, and tried to find something that spewed around 90m barrels of something to get an idea what that looked like.

Came up with this:


In case you missed it, the release is estimated at 5,500 cubic feet per second.

Oil Production calculates to 5848 cubic feet / second.

Burn that 24/7, makes plenty of CO2, about 20 pounds per gallon of gasoline, which, arguably, of course, is not a good thing.
 

Krunok

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Assuming the prime suspect is CO2 concentrations, the "Greenhouse Effect", I can see where We the People can be part of the problem.

I looked at Daily Oil Consumption, 90m barrels or so, and tried to find something that spewed around 90m barrels of something to get an idea what that looked like.

Came up with this:


In case you missed it, the release is estimated at 5,500 cubic feet per second.

Oil Production calculates to 5848 cubic feet / second.

Burn that 24/7, makes plenty of CO2, about 20 pounds per gallon of gasoline, which, arguably, of course, is not a good thing.

Well, these are certainly huge numbers but as I'm not climate scientist I cannot put them into right perspective and that is why I asked what would climate "Dr. Toole" said - is it a hug impact or pretty much irrelevant?
 

Azeia

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I disagree with that. It seems to me that the oil companies are just 'companies'. Just because they started out in oil doesn't mean that they have to continue in oil - they can just change their name to ...Energy or some such. Certain countries may have a lot to lose when the world makes the gesture of ditching their product, but these huge companies can just buy into battery/solar/wind power if they want. Just as the tobacco companies can buy into vaping.
That's not how business works. It should be how it works, but it's not. The current business doctrine is more about specialization, not diversification, and furthermore, part of the problem is that if you decide to get "out" of the oil industry, the way you get "out" is by selling your stocks to someone else, in which case, the person who bought those stocks has a maximum incentive to do any scummy thing imaginable to ensure they get a return on that investment, otherwise they'd be foolish for having invested in a dying stock.

The fossil fuel industry is insanely profitable in a way that no other industry is, because you have a resource that is necessary for energy production (especially portable energy production), and is non-renewable and scarce. The entire problem of renewable energy, from the perspective of fossil fuel corporations, is that it's "endgame"; once you have the economies of scale to make solar panels or wind turbines cheaply, and you have inexpensive energy storage (better battery tech) to store the power, it instantly decentralizes the economics of energy. The business model changes from selling a needed consumable resource to power plants as well as to people every day, because they need to drive to get to work, to a model where the only time someone needs a new turbine or new solar panels, is for new construction or replacements for older broken hardware. You're basically in the refrigerator business at that point.

This is where your vaping analogy fails. E-Cigs work precisely because they allegedly avoid the cancer risks, while retaining the addictive properties of nicotine that cigarette companies make their money on. In fact, they can increase their revenue now because with the cancer concerns assuaged, a lot of people don't care as much about opposing their business practices, and they can make more money selling you newer vaporizers and kits, adapters, and various other trinkets, as well as all of the "flavors" that have been introduced now. In other words, it's 100% in line with their core business.

If renewable energy takes off, it will have a transformative effect on society that will absolutely destroy the very business model of selling a consumable "fuel" to consumers, because they'll have unlimited "free" energy (minus the one-time up-front cost of hardware, or replacing broken hardware down the line).

Was my "question" all that far fetched? Who said this recently?
AOC's statement was the complete opposite of what you are insinuating, she was stating that people are concerned about these issues, and that these concerns influence family planning, and she was stating this from the perspective of being dismayed at the situation, not encouraging it. She also happens to be entirely correct that people are already thinking this way. This is just simple quote-mining.

Ok, so what is the "official" attitude of climate science community on today's climate changes - did we cause it or it is a change that would happen anyway even without us?
My understanding is that the current scientific consensus among 97% of climate scientists, is that human activity is causing the global rise in temperatures.
 

Krunok

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My understanding is that the current scientific consensus among 97% of climate scientists, is that human activity is causing the global rise in temperatures.

Mine too, but can anybody quote some climate "AES" paper so we learn it from official resources?
 
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